METR 104:
Our Dynamic Weather

(Lecture w/Lab)
Forecasting Scores
Ranked by Average
Overall Score
Dr. Dave Dempsey
Dept. of Geosciences
SFSU, Spring 2012

(See also forecast scores listed alphabetically by last name.)

Below are forecast scores available as of May 23 , including:

  1. the average score of your 10 best forecasts (the minimum number required) for KOAK
    (and, for your reference, the average score based on either your 10 best forecasts or the forecasts you have actually submitted, whichever is fewer).
  2. the average score of your 10 best forecasts (the minimum number required) for KOKC
    (and, for your reference, the average score based on either your 10 best forecasts or the forecasts you have actually submitted, whichever is fewer).
(A score of zero is assigned to each forecast short of the minimum required number.)

Forecaster
Name
Maximum possible score = 3.0 points
Forecasts for KOAK   Forecasts for KOKC   Overall
Average
Score:

Best
Forecasts
from Each
City
(20 Total)
Number of
Forecasts
Submitted


(Only the
Best 10
Forecasts
Count)
Average
Score:
Best 10
Forecasts
Average
Score:
Forecasts
So Far, or
Best 10
Forecasts

(whichever
is fewer)
Your
Highest
Score
Your
Lowest
Score
among
Your
Best 10
Number of
Forecasts
Submitted


(Only the
Best 10
Forecasts
Count)
Average
Score:
Best 10
Forecasts
Average
Score:
Forecasts
So Far, or
Best 10
Forecasts

(whichever
is fewer)
Your
Highest
Score
Your
Lowest
Score
among
Your
Best 10
Vanessa White 21 (10) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00   22 (10) 2.91 2.91 3.00 2.78   2.96
Louisa Robert 22 (10) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00   44 (10) 2.86 2.86 3.00 2.75   2.93
Delia Keller 21 (10) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00   19 (10) 2.80 2.80 3.00 2.56   2.90
Ashley Fetsch 18 (10) 2.88 2.88 3.00 2.50   13 (10) 2.74 2.74 3.00 2.56   2.81
Sara Snowden 12 (10) 2.86 2.86 3.00 2.50   16 (10) 2.74 2.74 3.00 2.50   2.80
Ashley Lalla 19 (10) 2.60 2.60 3.00 2.33   31 (10) 2.98 2.98 3.00 2.78   2.79
Terry Chen 24 (10) 2.83 2.83 3.00 2.67   29 (10) 2.76 2.76 2.78 2.75   2.79
Edward Takara 17 (10) 2.87 2.87 3.00 2.67   19 (10) 2.65 2.65 3.00 2.50   2.76
Alexandra Hannum 19 (10) 2.83 2.83 3.00 2.33   17 (10) 2.43 2.43 2.75 2.25   2.63
Trena Luong 11 (10) 2.55 2.55 3.00 2.33   15 (10) 2.65 2.65 2.78 2.50   2.60
Evan Wong 12 (10) 2.77 2.77 3.00 2.33   10 (10) 2.35 2.35 2.75 1.67   2.56
Juan Cavalleiro 10 (10) 2.63 2.63 3.00 2.00   11 (10) 2.47 2.47 3.00 2.00   2.55
Alexis Cross 15 (10) 2.97 2.97 3.00 2.67   9        2.10 2.33 2.75 0.00   2.53
Ortal Shaitrit 14 (10) 2.68 2.68 3.00 2.25   15 (10) 2.30 2.30 2.56 2.00   2.49
Dakota Gross 11 (10) 2.53 2.53 3.00 2.00   13 (10) 2.45 2.45 3.00 2.11   2.49
Laura O'Grady 12 (10) 2.50 2.50 3.00 2.00   10 (10) 2.32 2.32 2.56 1.89   2.41
Marina Tiscornia 8        1.95 2.44 3.00 0.00   18 (10) 2.75 2.75 3.00 2.56   2.35
Miko Ison 19 (10) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00   6        1.61 2.68 2.78 0.00   2.30
Andrew Shukert 10 (10) 2.10 2.10 3.00 1.00   15 (10) 2.47 2.47 3.00 2.11   2.28
Danielle Conn 8        1.96 2.45 3.00 0.00   13 (10) 2.61 2.61 2.78 2.33   2.28
Cameron Lilledahl 12 (10) 2.70 2.70 3.00 2.00   7        1.72 2.46 3.00 0.00   2.21
Samantha Romero 12 (10) 2.52 2.52 3.00 2.00   8        1.81 2.27 3.00 0.00   2.17
Wendy Mendez 9        2.23 2.48 3.00 0.00   8        1.91 2.39 3.00 0.00   2.07
David Oziel 9        2.11 2.34 3.00 0.00   9        1.97 2.19 2.78 0.00   2.04
Chantelle Magnan 5        1.33 2.67 3.00 0.00   19 (10) 2.75 2.75 3.00 2.56   2.04
Jaina Abdul-Mansour 12 (10) 2.63 2.63 3.00 2.00   6        1.31 2.18 2.78 0.00   1.97
Chelsea Bronson 6        1.43 2.39 3.00 0.00   10 (10) 2.45 2.45 3.00 1.67   1.94
Talisa Flores 8        1.97 2.46 3.00 0.00   8        1.89 2.37 2.78 0.00   1.93
Simon Norton 6        1.55 2.58 3.00 0.00   11 (10) 2.22 2.22 2.56 2.00   1.88
Keaton Vallee 5        1.20 2.40 3.00 0.00   11 (10) 2.51 2.51 2.78 2.25   1.86
Rachel Zamora 4        1.02 2.54 3.00 0.00   9        2.30 2.55 3.00 0.00   1.66
Haeley Donovan 7        1.64 2.35 3.00 0.00   6        1.69 2.81 3.00 0.00   1.66
Saydee Moran 12 (10) 2.56 2.56 3.00 1.75   2        0.38 1.88 2.00 0.00   1.47
Eric Heintz 7        1.88 2.69 3.00 0.00   3        0.59 1.96 2.50 0.00   1.24
Itzel Centeno 10 (10) 1.83 1.83 2.50 1.00   3        0.60 2.00 2.50 0.00   1.21
Beighley Repp 5        1.10 2.20 3.00 0.00   5        1.24 2.49 3.00 0.00   1.17
Alyssa Harrison 7        1.81 2.58 3.00 0.00   2        0.40 2.00 2.00 0.00   1.10
Crystal Del_Valle 6        1.47 2.44 3.00 0.00   3        0.64 2.15 2.56 0.00   1.06
Hadyn Fulmer 3        0.77 2.56 3.00 0.00   4        1.06 2.66 3.00 0.00   0.92
Simon Kim 5        1.30 2.60 3.00 0.00   2        0.45 2.25 2.50 0.00   0.88

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