METR 104:
Our Dynamic Weather

(Lecture w/Lab)
Forecasting
Scores
Dr. Dave Dempsey
Dept. of Geosciences
SFSU, Spring 2012

(See also forecasting scores ranked by average overall score.)

Below are forecast scores available as of May 23 , including:

  1. the average score of your 10 best forecasts (the minimum number required) for KOAK
    (and, for your reference, the average score based on either your 10 best forecasts or the forecasts you have actually submitted, whichever is fewer).
  2. the average score of your 10 best forecasts (the minimum number required) for KOKC
    (and, for your reference, the average score based on either your 10 best forecasts or the forecasts you have actually submitted, whichever is fewer).
(A score of zero is assigned to each forecast short of the minimum required number.)

Forecaster
Name
Maximum possible score = 3.0 points
Forecasts for KOAK   Forecasts for KOKC   Overall
Average
Score:

Best
Forecasts
from Each
City
(20 Total)
Number of
Forecasts
Submitted


(Only the
Best 10
Forecasts
Count)
Average
Score:
Best 10
Forecasts
Average
Score:
Forecasts
So Far, or
Best 10
Forecasts

(whichever
is fewer)
Your
Highest
Score
Your
Lowest
Score
among
Your
Best 10
Number of
Forecasts
Submitted


(Only the
Best 10
Forecasts
Count)
Average
Score:
Best 10
Forecasts
Average
Score:
Forecasts
So Far, or
Best 10
Forecasts

(whichever
is fewer)
Your
Highest
Score
Your
Lowest
Score
among
Your
Best 10
Jaina Abdul-Mansour 12 (10) 2.63 2.63 3.00 2.00   6        1.31 2.18 2.78 0.00   1.97
Chelsea Bronson 6        1.43 2.39 3.00 0.00   10 (10) 2.45 2.45 3.00 1.67   1.94
Juan Cavalleiro 10 (10) 2.63 2.63 3.00 2.00   11 (10) 2.47 2.47 3.00 2.00   2.55
Itzel Centeno 10 (10) 1.83 1.83 2.50 1.00   3        0.60 2.00 2.50 0.00   1.21
Terry Chen 24 (10) 2.83 2.83 3.00 2.67   29 (10) 2.76 2.76 2.78 2.75   2.79
Danielle Conn 8        1.96 2.45 3.00 0.00   13 (10) 2.61 2.61 2.78 2.33   2.28
Alexis Cross 15 (10) 2.97 2.97 3.00 2.67   9        2.10 2.33 2.75 0.00   2.53
Crystal Del_Valle 6        1.47 2.44 3.00 0.00   3        0.64 2.15 2.56 0.00   1.06
Haeley Donovan 7        1.64 2.35 3.00 0.00   6        1.69 2.81 3.00 0.00   1.66
Ashley Fetsch 18 (10) 2.88 2.88 3.00 2.50   13 (10) 2.74 2.74 3.00 2.56   2.81
Talisa Flores 8        1.97 2.46 3.00 0.00   8        1.89 2.37 2.78 0.00   1.93
Hadyn Fulmer 3        0.77 2.56 3.00 0.00   4        1.06 2.66 3.00 0.00   0.92
Dakota Gross 11 (10) 2.53 2.53 3.00 2.00   13 (10) 2.45 2.45 3.00 2.11   2.49
Alexandra Hannum 19 (10) 2.83 2.83 3.00 2.33   17 (10) 2.43 2.43 2.75 2.25   2.63
Alyssa Harrison 7        1.81 2.58 3.00 0.00   2        0.40 2.00 2.00 0.00   1.10
Eric Heintz 7        1.88 2.69 3.00 0.00   3        0.59 1.96 2.50 0.00   1.24
Miko Ison 19 (10) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00   6        1.61 2.68 2.78 0.00   2.30
Delia Keller 21 (10) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00   19 (10) 2.80 2.80 3.00 2.56   2.90
Simon Kim 5        1.30 2.60 3.00 0.00   2        0.45 2.25 2.50 0.00   0.88
Ashley Lalla 19 (10) 2.60 2.60 3.00 2.33   31 (10) 2.98 2.98 3.00 2.78   2.79
Cameron Lilledahl 12 (10) 2.70 2.70 3.00 2.00   7        1.72 2.46 3.00 0.00   2.21
Trena Luong 11 (10) 2.55 2.55 3.00 2.33   15 (10) 2.65 2.65 2.78 2.50   2.60
Chantelle Magnan 5        1.33 2.67 3.00 0.00   19 (10) 2.75 2.75 3.00 2.56   2.04
Wendy Mendez 9        2.23 2.48 3.00 0.00   8        1.91 2.39 3.00 0.00   2.07
Saydee Moran 12 (10) 2.56 2.56 3.00 1.75   2        0.38 1.88 2.00 0.00   1.47
Simon Norton 6        1.55 2.58 3.00 0.00   11 (10) 2.22 2.22 2.56 2.00   1.88
Laura O'Grady 12 (10) 2.50 2.50 3.00 2.00   10 (10) 2.32 2.32 2.56 1.89   2.41
David Oziel 9        2.11 2.34 3.00 0.00   9        1.97 2.19 2.78 0.00   2.04
Beighley Repp 5        1.10 2.20 3.00 0.00   5        1.24 2.49 3.00 0.00   1.17
Louisa Robert 22 (10) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00   44 (10) 2.86 2.86 3.00 2.75   2.93
Samantha Romero 12 (10) 2.52 2.52 3.00 2.00   8        1.81 2.27 3.00 0.00   2.17
Ortal Shaitrit 14 (10) 2.68 2.68 3.00 2.25   15 (10) 2.30 2.30 2.56 2.00   2.49
Andrew Shukert 10 (10) 2.10 2.10 3.00 1.00   15 (10) 2.47 2.47 3.00 2.11   2.28
Sara Snowden 12 (10) 2.86 2.86 3.00 2.50   16 (10) 2.74 2.74 3.00 2.50   2.80
Edward Takara 17 (10) 2.87 2.87 3.00 2.67   19 (10) 2.65 2.65 3.00 2.50   2.76
Marina Tiscornia 8        1.95 2.44 3.00 0.00   18 (10) 2.75 2.75 3.00 2.56   2.35
Keaton Vallee 5        1.20 2.40 3.00 0.00   11 (10) 2.51 2.51 2.78 2.25   1.86
Vanessa White 21 (10) 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00   22 (10) 2.91 2.91 3.00 2.78   2.96
Evan Wong 12 (10) 2.77 2.77 3.00 2.33   10 (10) 2.35 2.35 2.75 1.67   2.56
Rachel Zamora 4        1.02 2.54 3.00 0.00   9        2.30 2.55 3.00 0.00   1.66

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